donald trump

Donald Trump

Donald Trump - the billionaire casino magnate, reality TV show star, and member of the World Wide Entertainment Wrestling Hall of Fame - is running for president of the U.S. in 2016.

There are reasons to celebrate Trump's candidacy, but more serious reasons to oppose it. Those are discussed in more detail below, followed by posts detailing the huge problems with a "President Trump".

Trump's Completely Unrealistic Policies

Trump's signature policies are completely unrealistic. They might sound tough to Trump supporters, but they're actually very weak because they will never happen.

Those signature policies include temporarily banning all Muslims from entering the U.S. and forcibly deporting all illegal aliens. Neither of those will ever happen, as discussed at the links. Both of those policies are like Don Knotts in a muscle suit: they seem tough from a distance, but once you see them up close and in detail you realize how weak they really are.

"Seriously, have you ever heard me say something like that? I defend all the French people in France, regardless of their origin, regardless of their religion." - Marine Le Pen on Trump's Muslims plan

At the same time as promoting unrealistic plans, Trump refuses to promote realistic policies that are actually very strong, like attrition and much more stringent background checks for refugees. There will be more potential terrorists in the U.S. than there would be if Trump had proposed stringent background checks.

Some say Trump's unrealistic policies are just an opening gambit and that he intends to negotiate them down. Negotiating Trump's unrealistic policies down will make them more realistic, but will just make the problems the U.S. faces even worse.

A lesser version of banning Muslims would be allowing some in, which would involve much more stringent background checks. Why not simply promote much more stringent background checks from the start, and refuse to negotiate down such a commonsense proposal?

A lesser version of mass deportations would be letting some illegal aliens remain in the U.S. Amnesty supporters are very skilled and resourceful. They'd make sure that as many illegal aliens as possible get to remain. As with Trump's Muslims ban, why not simply support attrition from the start, and avoid negotiating it down by aggressively defending the plan?

To make all of that worse, Trump would follow his mass deportations plan with a mass legalization plan. Amnesty supporters have a tremendous deal of power and would work to make sure Trump legalizes as many former illegal aliens as possible.

Trump's Positives

Trump does have some positives in his favor:

  • Trump has caused Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina, and others to drop out of the race.
  • Trump has shown that conservatism isn't working for millions of Americans.
  • Trump is the closest the U.S. has had to a nationalist in recent memory. From a distance and despite his many issues, he presents a patriotic agenda. That presents a strong contrast to both the bogus patriotism of the GOP and the Tea Parties movement and to borderless globalism. However, Trump is to nationalism what Dr. Nick is to surgery.
  • Trump has shown how incompetent many intermediaries are. Despite Trump's huge vulnerabilities, most of the anti-Trump efforts have just helped him.

Trump's Negatives

At least at this point in time, Trump's negatives far outweigh his positives:

  • Some of Trump's supporters aren't pathological liars and aren't as vile as most in the Tea Parties movement. However, his supporters have been on the losing end of battles with the elites for decades and in some cases they don't even realize that. They aren't exactly the best judges of character. They hurt Trump by being uncritical fans of his rather than demanding better from him. Trump supporters aren't capable of showing intermediaries wrong and can't even conceive of the value in that. Trump supporters and those like them are a major part of the reason why the elites are able to get away with massive/illegal immigration and questionable trade deals: those in the Trump sphere either don't do anything about those issues or do dumb things that in effect help the elites. They're loud and they say and do dumb things that the elites use to get their way. Trump channels those people, saying on the national stage what they normally only get to say at bars in small Tennessee towns. Trump isn't representing their interests in smart ways that will achieve laudable goals of reducing immigration and preventing terrorism. He's simply playing to those who have repeatedly shown that they're no match for the elites. Trump isn't helping his supporters because doing things the way his supporters do things clearly doesn't work.
  • Trump has links to organized crime figures. If he becomes president, who knows what sway they'd have over him. Trump occasionally acts like a member of organized crime himself such as by encouraging his supporters to rough up protesters at his rallies.
  • Trump's campaign has been almost completely anti-intellectual. Trump has rarely made a valid argument for or against something. He also tends to lie and exaggerate. He tends to just make pronouncements without backing them up. Many of the things he says are simply personal smears. That certainly resonates with many people, but it's not going to keep the cultural far-left and amnesty supporters in check. Calling far-left leaders names isn't going to undercut them. Showing them wrong would undercut them, but almost nothing Trump has said and nothing his followers have said indicates that they're capable of showing even the least competent far-left leaders wrong. It would help Trump to show someone like John Oliver wrong, but he and his followers aren't capable of that and his followers aren't capable of helping those who can. Trump isn't encouraging his followers to do a better job and to improve their lot: he just wants them to wave his signs and vote for him.
  • Trump's response to protests illustrates various highly negative aspects of his candidacy, including that he can't figure out how to do things the correct way. His calls for violence against protesters have been used against him and obviously Trump realized calling for violence wasn't a point in his favor because he's backed away from it. If Trump could figure out the best way to do things, he wouldn't have called for violence in the first place and then had to back away from it: he would have realized that calling for violence would be used against him. Trump's response to the melee at his Chicago rally could have resulted in reducing the power Black Lives Matter and MoveOn have if he'd done things the right way. He instead did things his normal lunkhead way that plays with his followers but that doesn't have an impact outside that group. The Chicago melee might help Trump get more supporters, but Trump didn't use it to help the U.S. as he should have. Trump could help the U.S. by engaging a few of the protesters at his rallies. Trump's lunkhead supporters - including those like John Kobylt - will think that means kowtowing to protesters as Bernie Sanders did with Black Lives Matter activists. They and Trump can't conceive of a third option: intellectually engaging protesters and showing them wrong. If Trump got into an impromptu debate with a protester about policy, that would show that he's capable of defending his policies and it would help show that those who protest him over the same issues are wrong. That would also reduce outbursts at his future events. Almost all of those protesting Trump aren't the brightest people around: if they were they'd protest Trump in smarter ways. Yet, Trump isn't willing or able to engage them and show them wrong. If he can't do that, how is he going to deal with China, Russia, and the Middle East?
  • Trump's plans are completely unrealistic; see the links below for the details. Proposing unrealistic plans has kept Trump from proposing realistic plans that would help the U.S.
  • Trump is the ultimate loose cannon. Who knows what Trump would unleash as president.
Last modified Mar 22, 2016
Discussed in (click each link for the full post):

Trump admits Trump Wall will be "see through", not an actual wall - 09/22/17

"Trump Wall" just became "see through". Speaking to his supporters in Alabama today, Donald Trump said this [1]:

Trump tells Mex president he's optimistic about amnesty deal; WH doesn't reveal it - 09/16/17

On September 14, Donald Trump spoke on the phone with the president of Mexico, Enrique Peña Nieto. According to a press release from the Mexican government, Trump expressed "optimism" that Congress would reach a deal on amnesty for DACA recipients. That part of the conversation was conveniently left out of the White House readout on the call. Here's the totality of that readout [1]:

Trump admits he wants amnesty for DREAMers, using deceptive loose borders talking point - 09/14/17

After two tweets today, even Donald Trump's most delusional fans are going to have to admit that Trump supports giving amnesty to hundreds of thousands of illegal aliens. He's not playing "12th dimensional chess", he's serious.

Marc Short: Trump will push amnesty for DREAMers even if Wall funding isn't included - 09/12/17

The idea of trading amnesty for increased enforcement is incredibly stupid, as detailed at the link. Now it turns out that Donald Trump doesn't even need to have "Trump Wall" as part of his plan to give amnesty to "DREAMers". As pointed out here for over two years, Trump is actually very weak on immigration. Even his supporters might one day wake up to that, but hopefully not before he can sign an amnesty bill.

Nancy Pelosi says Trump told her he'd sign the anti-American DREAM Act - 09/07/17

From [1]: House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said Thursday that President Trump agreed to sign into law a measure shielding young undocumented immigrants from deportation if it's passed by lawmakers.

Trump tweets for DACA amnesty on Nancy Pelosi's request - 09/07/17

From [1]: House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) spoke to President Trump by phone on Thursday and asked him to issue a tweet reassuring young undocumented immigrants that they won’t be deported in the next six months. Pelosi told reporters at a Capitol news conference that she told Trump to make clear that recipients under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, often referred to as “Dreamers,” shouldn't fear imminent deportation as the Trump administration phases the program out over the next six months.

Sarah Sanders admits Trump wants comprehensive immigration reform, aka amnesty - 09/06/17

When someone supports "Comprehensive Immigration Reform", they support what most call "amnesty". Amnesty supporters can play word games all they want (see reform not amnesty), but CIR is what amnesty opponents mean by amnesty. "Immigration reform" could mean various things, but when you add "comprehensive" to it you're talking about mass legalization, aka full-on amnesty.

Trump ends DACA, but calls on Congress to push amnesty - 09/05/17

UPDATE: Trump has made it crystal clear he wants amnesty, see the update below. Donald Trump has ended DACA, Barack Obama's amnesty-by-fiat for hundreds of thousands of "DREAMers". That's OK as far as it goes, but Trump is also beginning to push amnesty.

Is trading amnesty for immigration enforcement a wise idea? (DREAMers, Trump Wall) - 09/04/17

The idea of trading amnesty for immigration enforcement is in fact a very dumb idea. It's also completely unnecessary to achieve the goal it's supposedly designed to achieve. If Donald Trump made such a deal, we'd end up getting amnesty and little or no enforcement. That's what happened after the 1986 amnesty, and nothing fundamentally has changed.

Open Complaint about EPA linking to Breitbart - 09/03/17

To: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Inspector General (OIG_Hotline at epa.gov) This is a complaint about the "News Releases from Headquarters" from the "Office of the Administrator" entitled "EPA Response To The AP's Misleading Story" (link).

Trump can't understand a very powerful immigration argument (related to an Australian refugee policy; Turnbull transcript) - 08/03/17

Australia has the fairly smart policy of not accepting refugees who arrive by boat [1]. Based on the leaked transcript of a call between Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, Trump is incapable of wrapping his mind around that policy.

Trump starts "Made In America Week" by increasing foreign workers H-2B visas by 15,000 - 07/17/17

From [1]: The Department of Homeland Security on Monday announced a one-time increase of 15,000 additional visas for low-wage seasonal workers for the remainder of this fiscal year, a seeming about-face from President Trump's "Hire American" rhetoric, following heavy lobbying from fisheries, hospitality and other industries that rely on temporary foreign workers. The increase represents a 45 percent bump from the number of H-2B visas normally issued for the second half of the fiscal year, said senior Homeland Security officials in a call with reporters.

Win the Future will fail, what to do instead - 07/04/17

Win the Future is a new group to "rethink" and "hack" the Democratic Party (link). Those involved are at [1]. I'll describe how they'll fail and what they should do instead. From the link:

Trump admits again his travel ban endangered the USA - 06/26/17

The Supreme Court is temporarily allowing parts of Trump's travel/Muslim ban to continue. In response, the Donald Trump administration has released a statement including an unwitting admission that Trump's actions made the USA less safe:

Supreme Court partly & temporarily reinstates Trump's travel ban - 06/26/17

The Supreme Court has partly reinstated Donald Trump's travel ban, aka the Muslim Ban. This is just a temporary decision; they'll make a final decision in the Fall. In response, the Trump administration has unwittingly admitted once again that Trump's actions have made the USA less safe. From this, bolding added:

Trump promotes "comprehensive immigration reform" in Silicon Valley meeting [UPDATED] - 06/19/17

[UPDATE BELOW] From [1]: Timothy D. Cook of Apple, Jeff Bezos of Amazon, Satya Nadella of Microsoft and Eric Schmidt of Alphabet were among 18 tech executives and investors... who attended [a] four-hour afternoon session [at the White House to discuss technology issues]... ...Brad Smith, Microsoft’s president, said on Twitter that the company made the case "for why healthy high-skilled immigration and investments in education are good for the country."

#TMAWTUT: Ten Minutes A Week To Undercut Trump - 06/17/17

#TMAWTUT means "Ten Minutes A Week To Undercut Trump". It's a series of small campaigns everyone can help with and that require very little time commitment. You can oppose Trump in other ways the rest of the time, all we ask is ten minutes (or less!) per week.

Trump continues Obama's DACA for DREAMers. How patriotic Trump fans can respond. - 06/16/17

In a move that won't surprise anyone who's been reading this site, the Donald Trump administration has decided to continue Barack Obama's "Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals" ("DACA") program. Obama created that program when he wasn't able to pass the DREAM Act; DACA was Obama's amnesty-by-fiat for hundreds of thousands of illegal aliens. DACA is horrible public policy that harms American students and workers and foreign countries. And, Trump is continuing it.

Donald Trump finally makes a smart argument against mass immigration - 05/21/17

After nearly two years of intensely stupid plans and arguments about immigration that - as reality demonstrates - would only work if the world were run by Breitbart News, Donald Trump has finally made a smart argument against mass immigration. If he repeats it without junking it up, he could use it to finally do a national service and undercut those who support mass refugee resettlement and mass immigration in general. That's, of course, a tall order: Trump and his fan club have consistently helped the wrong side in various ways.

Breitbart downplays Trump congratulating Erdogan's win - 04/18/17

From "Trump Congratulates Erdogan on Turkey Vote Cementing His Rule" [1]: President Trump called President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey on Monday to congratulate him on winning a much-disputed referendum that will cement his autocratic rule over the country and, in the view of many experts, erode Turkey’s democratic institutions.

L.A. Times Editorial Board has ineffective Trump tantrum - 04/03/17

One of the ways Donald Trump won and continues to find support is "epater les bohemes": doing things that shock and outrage the elites and their helpers and provoke them into throwing tantrums. That increases his popularity among the tens of millions who don't like the elites and their helpers. Trump is like the Three Stooges; his loudest opponents are like the pompous oafs. His supporters drink deep at the well of the elites' tears.

What Alvin Chang of Vox isn't telling you about doctors and Trump's travel ban - 03/06/17

At Vox Media, Alvin Chang offers "How Trump's refugee ban hurts health care in places that voted for him/How much is your community served by doctors trained in one of the banned countries?" [1].

Trump wants to work with Democrats on "immigration reform" (possibly amnesty) - 02/28/17

In a speech to a joint session of Congress tonight, Donald Trump said, among many other things, the following (link): I am going to bring back millions of jobs. Protecting our workers also means reforming our system of legal immigration. The current, outdated system depresses wages for our poorest workers and puts great pressure on taxpayers. Nations around the world, like Canada, Australia and many others, have a merit-based immigration system.

Trump's "Last night in Sweden": is he lying or confused? - 02/19/17

Kremlinology is about determining what rational actors are doing. Trumpology is about determining what a crazy or thinks-he's-crazy-like-a-fox actor is doing. The latest example occurred at Donald Trump's rally in Melbourne, Florida yesterday where he said, among a great many other things, this: We've got to keep our country safe. You look at what's happening in Germany, you look at what's happening last night in Sweden. Sweden, who would believe this. Sweden. They took in large numbers. They're having problems like they never thought possible.

CIS unwittingly shows how Trump's travel ban won't work ("72 Terrorists" study) - 02/12/17

Jessica Vaughan of the Center for Immigration Studies offers "Study Reveals 72 Terrorists Came From Countries Covered by Trump Vetting Order" [1]. Her goal is to show that Donald Trump's travel ban (or Muslim ban) will help keep the U.S. safe.

The profound immigration question Trump supporters can't answer (Robert Merry) - 02/07/17

At the American Conservative, Robert Merry posts "A Profound Question Behind the Immigration Debate" (link). Behind the sturm und drang that greeted President Trump’s recent executive action on refugees lies the broader issue of U.S. immigration policies over the past half-century. And behind those immigration policies lies a profound question facing Americans: what kind of country do they want their country to be? ...

Ryan Grim sides with Trump nominee Andy Puzder on exploiting labor (Huffington Post) - 02/06/17

At the Huffington Post, Ryan Grim posts "Labor Nominee Andrew Puzder Has Another Problem: Undocumented Help / He did the right thing. And it could cost him." [1]:

Trump is no help against anti-speech far-left (Milo, Berkeley riots) - 02/02/17

Yesterday, an appearance at University of California at Berkeley by Breitbart News lightweight provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos was canceled after far-left, anti-speech activists got violent (link):

Lee Stranahan spins Trump's weak-on-terrorism Muslim ban (Breitbart) - 01/29/17

Trump's Pravda - aka Breitbart News - has a series of posts frantically trying to explain away the mess that Donald Trump and their former CEO Steve Bannon have created with Trump's Muslim ban.

Downsides of Trump's Muslim ban and the smart alternative - 01/29/17

Donald Trump and his advisors Steve Bannon and Stephen Miller have created a royal mess with an Executive Order that halts certain types of travel and immigration to the U.S. The Order has set off protests at airports across the U.S. and has been partly put on hold by a federal judge.

Byron York on Trump's immigration actions - 01/27/17

This page is part of the Trump Supporters on His Immigration Actions series. If Donald Trump's immigration actions work out, then we'll know who to thank. However, if - as is much more likely - Trump uses his immigration actions as a prelude to amnesty or his actions get tied up in the courts for years, we'll know who to blame.

How Jessica Vaughan of CIS harms the U.S. - 01/26/17

Jessica Vaughan is the Director of Policy Studies for the Center for Immigration Studies ("CIS") and she's now advising Donald Trump on immigration. The problem for the U.S.

Steve Sailer and readers on Trump's immigration actions - 01/26/17

This page is part of the Trump Supporters on His Immigration Actions series. If Donald Trump's immigration actions work out, then we'll know who to thank. However, if - as is much more likely - Trump uses his immigration actions as a prelude to amnesty or his actions get tied up in the courts for years, we'll know who to blame.

Trump orders construction on border wall; pulls grants from Sanctuary Cities; restores 287g and Secure Communities. But... - 01/25/17

In a test of whether the lunkhead, Breitbart News way of opposing illegal immigration will work, Donald Trump signed two executive orders today dealing with illegal immigration.

Trump doesn't even know our form of government; it's not "democracy" - 01/22/17

In a tweet today, Donald Trump said [1]: Peaceful protests are a hallmark of our democracy. Even if I don't always agree, I recognize the rights of people to express their views. That followed by an hour or so this earlier tweet [2]: Watched protests yesterday but was under the impression that we just had an election! Why didn't these people vote? Celebs hurt cause badly.

Immigration gets short shrift at Trump's initial WhiteHouse.gov - 01/20/17

Immigration is the most vital domestic issue because it impacts everything else in the U.S. It's also the issue that helped elect Donald Trump. Yet the initial version of WhiteHouse dot gov doesn't highlight it. The Trump version of the site is very barebones and that might change, but if it were truly a key issue for Trump he'd put it front and center.

Trump would make "undocumented citizens" - DREAMers - "happy" - 01/19/17

UPDATES BELOW In a 1/18/17 interview on Fox News by Ainsley Earhardt, Donald Trump yet again implied support for the anti-American DREAM Act and legalizing hundreds of thousands or millions of "DREAMers".

Trump's anti-American, pro-Silicon Valley skilled immigration ideas - 01/19/17

In a 1/18/17 interview on Fox News by Ainsley Earhardt [1] (video below), Donald Trump yet again promised the outlines of a skilled immigration plan that would be friendly to the Silicon Valley investor class and unfriendly to American high-tech worker

Robert Reich is wrong about Trump Wall - 01/15/17

Former Bill Clinton Labor Secretary Robert Reich - now a University of California at Berkeley professor - is wrong about lots of things, and the latest thing he's wrong about is Donald Trump's wall on the Mexican border.

Jeff Sessions won't oppose DREAM Act in smart ways - 01/10/17

As you can see on the DREAM Act page, there are valid arguments against that anti-American bill, arguments that can be used to show its supporters wrong. There are also much better ways to deal with "DREAMers" than to allow them to remain in the U.S., and arguments for that can also be used to undercut those who support the DREAM Act and its implementation-by-executive-fiat, DACA.

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