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You use the participation rate. The rate of employment considers those in the workforce, not all individuals.
The actual rate of employment for the 16-19 age group is lower now than it was 19 years ago.
If you want to talk about participation rate, then go talk about participation rate. Write an article on that and then solicit comments.
Posted by: Ralph at May 27, 2005 10:08 AM
"rising, not falling"
You seem to have a forest/trees problem.
According to this:
http://www.heritage.org/Research/Labor/wm406.cfm
[Where Have All the Youngsters Gone?
Among teens, the participation rate peaked at 59 percent in 1978 and has trended down by 3 percent per decade. The rate dropped dramatically by 10 percent over the last three years.]
Teen employment has fallen dramatically over the last couple of decades or so.
It's rather easy to find other corroborating data on this.
Now, I'm no mathematician -- wait a minute, yes I am! -- but I think that if you graph 59% in '78 vs 36% (roughly) today, you get a line with a rather obvious negative slope, which means teen employment has, as an overall trend, fallen markedly since the late '70s. One would think that even you wouldn't try to dismiss this as insignificant; but you never know.
Now, while the reasons for this may indeed be many, in this particular context, it does not seem unfair to point out that this big decline in teen employment has occurred during the same time period the US experienced a huge influx of unskilled third world immigrants (a large number of them here illegally), many of whom we all know (all of us who visit fast food joints, anyway) compete for the kinds of jobs American teens typically held in the past. It's probably also true that your average wanna-be-cool teen is not thrilled about grilling burgers next to a thirty something Mexican (i.e. a 'loser') who doesn't speak English. So in this sense the demographic shift, along with wages held down by a large supply of workers, has probably helped turn some jobs into more or less 'jobs Americans no longer want to do'.
Posted by: eh at May 27, 2005 9:42 AM
"Employment rates for younger Americans have been falling ..."
then
"About 36.7% of U.S. teens age 16 to 19 will work this summer, Sum said, just about matching the 36.1% of teens employed last summer..."
FYI: this indicates that the employment rate is rising, not falling. Helloooo!? McFlyyyyyyy?!?!
Posted by: Ralph at May 27, 2005 2:57 AM